Description: SDi has designed a system of mathematical models that use the idea of community structure in complex networks for the foundation for COVID-19 spread prediction and defines the network based on connections between individuals via social media. In addition, the system incorporates not only real-world information, but also insight from a series of connected simulations that model the disease spread in a virtual world.
Primary Objective: SDi is developing Conjecture Covid as a comprehensive tool to both track and predict the spread of COVID-19. Conjecture Covid is designed as a service to be used by public health professionals in the mitigation of disease outbreak and spread.
Innovation: Conjecture Covid utilizes cluster analysis techniques to determine and predict COVID-19 spread by building a virtual model (simulation) that incorporates the concept of Community Structure and envisions the spread of the COVID-19 virus as a network of expanding nodes. This process encapsulates hierarchical clustering and the Girvan-Newman algorithm to associate known clusters to possible locations of new clusters.
SDi is developing an innovative way to enhance the capability of both OPFOR and BLUFOR wargame participants by providing a platform that will complement their own operational abilities.